Bersatu rugi jika UMNO dan PAS bekerjasama

KERJASAMA UMNO dan PAS akan hanya merugikan Bersatu, kata penganalisis.

Azmi Hassan dari Akademi Nusantara, berkata penyebab Perikatan Nasional (PN) kelihatan ‘kukuh dan kuat’ berbalik kepada PAS, bukannya Bersatu.

Bersatu memerlukan PAS dalam usaha mengembangkan cita-cita politiknya. Jadi, dari sudut siapa yang akan rugi lebih banyak, berkemungkinan adalah Bersatu, katanya kepada FMT.

PAS memiliki 43 daripada 68 kerusi PN di Dewan Rakyat, manakala Bersatu mempunyai 25 susulan enam Ahli Parlimennya sebelum ini menyatakan sokongan kepada kerajaan perpaduan. Muda mempunyai satu kerusi di pihak pembangkang, dengan baki 153 kerusi dikuasai komponen membentuk kerajaan perpaduan.

Azmi berkata, Bersatu sangat bergantung kepada PAS di sebalik kejayaannya.

Beliau berkata, contohnya Azizi Abu Naim menang Dewan Undangan Negeri (DUN) Nenggiri untuk Bersatu pada PRN Ogos tahun lalu kerana ‘penyokong PAS’. Bertanding di bawah lambang PAS, Azizi satu daripada enam calon Bersatu menang kerusi DUN, melibatkan keseluruhan 45 kerusi di Kelantan.

Bagaimanapun, kerusi itu diisytiharkan kosong oleh Speaker Mohd Amar Abdullah, dengan PRK dijadual berlangsung pada 17 Ogos.

Baru-baru ini, khabar angin kerjasama antara PAS-Umno pada PRU16 berlegar susulan Ketua Penerangan PAS Ahmad Fadhli Shaari, mendakwa pimpinan tinggi antara dua parti telah mengadakan perjumpaan tidak rasmi.

Fadhli berkata, seorang pemimpin Umno tidak dinamakan mengaku berada dalam dilema berkait keberadaan partinya dalam kerajaan perpaduan ditunjangi Pakatan Harapan, yang dianggapnya merugikan.

Namun, Azmi berkata, apa disuarakan Fadhli berkait hubungan PAS-Umno berkemungkinan strategi timbal balas parti itu, menjawab apa diperkatakan jurucakap kerajaan Fahmi Fadzil, mengenai kemungkinan PAS menyertai kerajaan perpaduan.

Azmi juga percaya, rujukan Fadhli terhadap pemimpin Umno tidak dinamakan itu adalah sebahagian strategi untuk menjejaskan kestabilan parti itu di bawah teraju Presiden Zahid Hamidi.

Dalam pada itu, penganalisis Asrul Hadi Abdullah Sani, berkatya sebarang kerjasama masa depan antara PH dan Barisan Nasional diketuai Umno bergantung kepada prestasi mereka, pada PRU16.

Jika prestasi Umno melemah dan hilang lebih banyak kerusi pada PRU akan datang, pemimpin PKR dan Umno akan mendesak untuk menamatkan kerjasama sedia terjalin,

 katanya yang pernah berkhidmat dengan BowerGroupAsia.

Bagaimanapun, Asrul berkata, jika PAS-Umno kembali bertaut, Bersatu patut mengelak bekerjasama dengan PH kerana mampu menjejaskan kejayaan pada pilihan raya menentang Umno.

Bersatu berisiko memporak-perandakan kredibilitinya dalam kalangan pengundi Melayu luar bandar dan akan mendapati parti mereka sukar dibezakan dengan Umno, katanya.

 

 

Bersatu the biggest loser if Umno and PAS cooperate

BERSATU stands to lose the most should an alliance between Umno and PAS materialise, says an analyst.

Azmi Hassan of Akademi Nusantara said the reason Perikatan Nasional has looked formidable and strong is down to PAS, not Bersatu.

Bersatu needs PAS in order to expand its political ambitions. So in terms of who will lose more, it’s probably Bersatu, he told FMT.

PAS holds 43 of PN’s 68 seats in the Dewan Rakyat, while Bersatu is left with 25 after six rebel members pledged their support for the unity government. Muda holds the only other seat in the opposition, while the remaining 153 seats are held by components of the unity government.

Azmi said Bersatu has had to rely heavily on PAS for much of its recent success.

As an example he said Azizi Abu Naim won the Nenggiri state seat in Kelantan for Bersatu at the state election in August last year because of PAS’s supporters. Contesting under the PAS logo, Azizi was one of six Bersatu candidates elected to the 45-seat state assembly.

The seat was recently declared vacant by Kelantan state assembly speaker Amar Abdullah, with a by-election scheduled for Aug 17.

Rumours of a possible PAS-Umno alliance at the next general election (GE16) have been swirling recently after PAS information chief Ahmad Fadhli Shaari claimed on Monday that top leaders from both parties have had several informal” meeting, Fadli said one unnamedUmno leader had confessed to being in a dilemmaover the party’s presence in the unity government led by Pakatan Harapan, which the leader said was to its detriment.

However, Azmi said Fadhli’s comments about a PAS-Umno tie up may be part of the Islamic party’s strategy to counter suggestions by government spokesman Fahmi Fadzil about the possibility of PAS joining the coalition government.

Several opposition leaders have dismissed Fahmi’s claims, with the PAS secretary-general Takiyuddin Hassan calling for him to stop twisting perceptions about the party.

Azmi also believes Fadhli’s reference to unnamed Umno leaders was part of a strategy to destabilise the party and undermine its president, Ahmad Zahid Hamidi.

Analyst Asrul Hadi Abdullah Sani, on the other hand, said that any future cooperation between PH and the Umno-led Barisan Nasional would depend on the performance of both coalitions in GE16.

If Umno performs poorly and loses more seats in the next general election, leaders from both PKR and Umno will push for an end to their current cooperation, said Asrul, formerly of BowerGroupAsia.

However, Asrul said that even if the PAS-Umno tie up materialises, Bersatu should avoid joining forces with PH as doing so would be  counterintuitive and could potentially  reverse all of its electoral successes against Umno.

Bersatu risks jeopardising its credibility among rural Malay voters and would find it hard to differentiate itself from Umno,” he said.

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