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‘Lockdown’: Kesannya Kepada Rakyat Dan Negara, Bersediakah Kita?

Rentetan daripada keputusan kerajaan untuk melanjutkan Perintah Kawalan Pergerakan (PKP) hingga 14 April ini, timbul pelbagai andaian dan pandangan. Ada sesetengah pihak berpandangan daripada kerajaan lanjutkan PKP terus mengisytiharkan perintah berkurung atau lockdown sahaja. Saya berpandangan langkah kerajaan melanjutkan PKP adalah satu langkah bijak dan berhati-hati demi menjaga kemaslahatan bersama, kerana perlu difahami ada perbezaan ketara antara Perintah Kawalan Pergerakan dan Lockdown.

Perintah berkurung atau lockdown adalah perintah yang tidak membenarkan sesiapa pun melakukan sebarang aktiviti di luar kediaman #juststayathome, tiada langsung pergerakan di luar termasuklah untuk membeli makanan dan keperluan. Berbeza dengan Perintah Kawalan Pergerakan (PKP) yang dikuatkuasakan sekarang masih membenarkan rakyat keluar untuk mendapatkan bekalan makanan dan keperluan lain. Kerajaan cukup berhati-hati dalam isu lockdown dan perlu membuat pertimbangan dari segenap sudut. Jika lockdown diisytiharkan ia melibatkan pelbagai pihak di dalam dan di luar negara, bekalan makanan dan pelbagai persediaan awal yang harus dibuat.

Persoalannya, bersediakah kita jika kerajaan mengisytiharkan lockdown? Bukan sehari dua tapi lebih daripada 14 hari dan mungkin 30 hari sepertimana dilakukan oleh negara China, Itali, Sepanyol, Perancis, Jerman, Austria, Colombia, Amerika Syarikat, Filipina, Brunei, Arab Saudi, Qatar, Oman, Jordan dan Lubnan. Lockdown dilaksanakan memandangkan penularan COVID-19 yang melanda negara mereka berada di tahap yang sangat tinggi dan semakin sukar untuk dikawal.

Mengisytiharkan lockdown tampak mudah, tetapi impaknya cukup besar kepada rakyat dan negara. Kerajaan menyedari penularan Covid-19 sangat membimbangkan namun masih terkawal dan ketika ini kerajaan dan barisan hadapan negara ‘frontliner’ sedang berusaha sedaya mungkin mencegah penularan COVID-19 bagi mengelak daripada berlakunya lockdown. Beberapa laman web telah mula menggunakan kata kunci ‘kesan lockdown’ yang mengajak netizen cuba menilai secara matang pro & con jika berlakunya lockdown. Kita cuba elakkan daripada berlakunya lockdown kerana ia memberi kesan langsung kepada sektor ekonomi, pendidikan, sosial, kekeluargaan dan kemasyarakatan.

1. SEKTOR EKONOMI

• Industri Kecil dan Sederhana (IKS), penjaja, pengusaha restoran akan menanggung kerugian yang besar. Penutupan operasi dan pemberhentian pekerja akan berlaku, sekaligus meningkatkan kadar pengangguran.

• Projek perumahan dan pembangunan akan mengalami kelewatan untuk disiapkan sekaligus memberi kesan berantai kepada ekonomi negara.

• Bursa Malaysia dan nilai Ringgit Malaysia akan menjunam. Pelabur asing akan menarik atau menghentikan sementara pelaburan mereka.

• Harga barang keperluan akan meningkat dengan mendadak kerana peningkatan permintaan yang melebihi kebiasaan.

2. SEKTOR PENDIDIKAN

• Prestasi pelajar dalam peperiksaan utama (UPSR, PT3, SPM, STPM) akan terjejas. Bebanan dan tugasan guru akan bertambah bagi menghabiskan silibus yang tertinggal.

• Universiti Awam dan IPTS akan mengalami kerugian dalam bentuk pengurusan dan tadbir urus. Graduasi ditangguhkan dan akan menyebabkan peningkatan kadar pengangguran.

• Kajian-kajian penting sama ada kajian makmal ataupun kajian ilimiah akan terjejas dengan penutupan makmal-makmal kajian dan berpotensi merencatkan perkembangan kajian.

3. SEKTOR SOSIAL, KEKELUARGAAN DAN KEMASYARAKATAN

• Pendapatan penjaja, peniaga, pemandu teksi, pemandu e-hailing dan pekerjaan yang berstatus pendapatan harian akan terjejas. Bebanan kewangan menjadi antara faktor berlakunya perbalahan dan perpecahan dalam keluarga.

• Kesihatan mental terutamanya mereka yang aktif mendapatkan berita semasa melalui media sosial akan terganggu sehingga menjadikan mereka ‘overwhelmed’ yang menyebabkan mereka mengalami kerisauan melampau yang membawa kepada ‘anxiety’.

• Pekerja yang bekerja dari rumah berdepan dengan risiko ‘burn out’ kerana mood bekerja di rumah tidak kondusif untuk tugasan pejabat di samping perlu melakukan kerja rumah

• Orang ramai akan terdedah kepada gajet dan internet ‘screen time’. Kajian membuktikan ‘screen time’ yang berlebihan akan membuatkan individu menjadi gelisah, tertekan dan tidak tenang, sekaligus menjadi punca kepada kemurungan sekiranya tidak terkawal.

Dalam situasi sekarang mental dan fizikal rakyat perlu terarah kepada kesiapsiagaan bagi menghadapi segala kemungkinan yang di luar pancaturan dan pengetahuan kita. Perlu atau tidak lockdown dikuatkuasakan kita serahkan kepada kebijaksanaan kerajaan melakukan kajian dan perincian serta mengambil tindakan yang paling efektif mengawal penularan GOVID-19. Jika kerajaan terpaksa mengisytiharkan lockdown, saya mencadangkan 12 langkah yang perlu dititikberatkan demi untuk menjaga kemaslahatan rakyat, langkah-langkah tersebut ialah:

1. Menggantung sementara operasi Bursa Malaysia dan juga menambat Ringgit kepada Dolar seperti yang dilakukan sewaktu krisis ekonomi 97/98. Langkah ini perlu bagi meminimakan impak yang perlu dihadapi oleh kerajaan

2. Pihak perbankan dan syarikat kewangan memberikan morotarium (penangguhan pinjaman) kepada kakitangan awam, swasta, peniaga IKS dan individu

3. BNM perlu mengarahkan semua syarikat insurans untuk menyemak semula “general exclusion -GE” terutama kepada berapa perkara penting antaranya memberikan pegecualian GE jika berlaku sebarang kecelakaan atau kemalangan di rumah, pemegang polisi dibenarkan menggunakan polisi insurans yang ada dalam tempoh lockdown

4. Syarikat-syarikat utiliti perlu memainkan peranan untuk mengurangkan beban rakyat. dengan memberikan bantuan seperti pemberian rebat, diskaun, ataupun caj minima sepanjang tempoh pelaksanaan lockdown

5. Penangguhan sementara potongan KWSP bagi bulan lockdown dilaksanakan. Rakyat akan mempunyai lebihan tunai di tangan bagi memastikan aliran tunai di pasaran kekal aktif

6. Menurunkan mata gred peperiksaan-peperiksaan utama bagi tahun 2020 ataupun mengurangkan darjah kesukaran bagi peperiksaan tersebut

7. Penangguhan semestar bagi pelajar IPTA dan IPTS perlu dilakukan

8. Golongan gelandangan di bandar-bandar besar perlu disediakan satu tempat perkumpulan. Mereka berisiko untuk terputus bekalan makanan

9. Sebelum lockdown dilaksanakan, kerajaan perlu menghentikan perkhidmatan pengangkutan awam secara berperingkat-peringkat

10. Menyediakan perkhidmatan kaunseling atau terapi emosi atas talian secara percuma bagi membantu orang ramai yang berdepan dengan masalah kesihatan mental

11. Agensi dan NGO dilibatkan secara aktif bagi kempen menjaga kesihatan mental

12. Mewajibkan setiap pasar raya, kedai runcit dan kedai barangan keperluan untuk melaksanakan pembelian terhad kepada barang-barang keperluan asas.

Dua perkara yang wajib kita lakukan sepanjang tempoh PKP bagi membantu kerajaan untuk memastikan objektif Perintah Kawalan Pergerakan (PKP) tercapai dengan:

• Duduk di rumah #stayathome dan mematuhi segala larangan dan nasihat yang telah dikeluarkan oleh pihak KKM dan PDRM dalam memastikan penularan wabak ini terkawal. Mereka yang berisiko dan mempunyai gejala-gejala COVID-19, dinasihatkan agar segera mendapatkan pemeriksaan di klinik-klinik berdekatan.

• Tidak menyebarkan dan menularkan berita dari sumber yang tidak pasti dan janganlah mencari populariti di media sosial dengan menimbulkan kegawatan kepada rakyat dengan pandangan dan teori-teori yang tidak sepatutnya.

John F. Kennedy pernah mengungkapkan “The Chinese use two brush strokes to write the word ‘crisis.’ One brush stroke stands for danger; the other for opportunity. In a crisis, be aware of the danger-but recognize the opportunity”. Kita gunakan peluang yang ada sepanjang tempoh PKP ini dengan melakukan perkara-perkara yang terhalang sebelum ini di rumah bersama keluarga dan insan yang tersayang #staycoolwithyourfamily.

AHMAD ZAHID HAMIDI
#juststayathome
#stayhomestaysafe
#staycoolwithyourfamily

Lockdown effect on the people: Are we prepared?

THE government decision to extend the Movement Control Order (MCO) until April 14 has led to many speculations and contemplation. Some are of the opinion that it would lead to declaring curfew or  a complete lockdown. I see this as the right decision to safeguard the interest of all as we need to comprehend the difference between MCO and Lockdown.

Curfew is a decree or order to forbid any kind of activities outside our homes. This means we are not anymore allowed to buy food and other necessity items. It differs from the MCO which provides an easy access for the people to shop for daily items. The government has been very careful in imposing lockdown, acquiring to look at every angle of it. Should lockdown is imposed, it will has to consider those domestically and internationally, food supply and all initial preparations.

The question is, are we well-prepared for the total lockdown? It won’t be for one or two days but 14 and could drag on to 30 days as imposed in China, Italy, Spain, Germany, Austria, Colombia, the US, Philippines, Brunei, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Oman, Jordan and Lebanon. Lockdown is the last resort to control the spread of the deadly Covid-19 virus.

Clamping the public with curfew seems easy but the impact will be densely on the public and nation. The government realises how dangerous the pandemic is but it is still under control and our frontliners are at their best to contain it, thus avoiding the total lockdown. Some websites have began riding on the lockdown terminology by inviting netizens to provide a pro and con feedback should lockdown is imposed. We are trying to avoid it because it will bring adverse bearing to the economic, education, social and the community sectors.

  1. ECONOMIC SECTOR
  • Small and medium-scaled industry (SMI), traders and restaurants will be on major losses. The closure of business premises and laying off workers will lead to massive unemployment.
  • Housing and other infrastructure projects will be deferred, hence leading to adverse chain impact to the economic growth.
  • Bursa Malaysia and the ringgit value will decline sharply. Foreign investors will withdraw their plans or cease operation.
  • Prices of daily goods will soar rapidly as the market will see higher demand over production.

2. EDUCATION

  • Achievement in major examinations (UPSR, PT3, SPM, STPM) will take a downturn. Teachers will have tough time to complete the syllabus.
  • Public and private higher learning institutions will incur losses in their administration. Graduation will have to be postponed, which leads to the unemployment.
  • Important researches and intellectual findings will be badly-affected when all laboratories and research centres are closed.

3. SOCIAL, COMMUNITY and FAMILY STRUCTURES

  • Income of petty traders, taxi drivers, e-hailing and all daily-income jobs will take a bashing. Financial issue is believe to lead to family feud and breakups.
  • The mental health, notably those who were active in channeling news from social media will cause them to be overwhelmed, thus leading to anxiety.
  • Those who work from home risk a ‘burn out’ situation as the mood is not conducive for some jobs.
  • The public will be exposed to gadgets and screen time of Internet. Survey shows that excessive screen time can put someone into restless and depression.
  • In current situation, our mental and physical should focus on the possibility of the unexpected. Is there a need for lockdown is up to the government wisdom to decide as it needs a thorough study as a mean to control the spread of Covid-19. Should lockdown is imposed, I would like to recommend 12 steps to keep the people well-managed:
  1. To postphone all tradings at Bursa Malaysia and pegging Ringgit to Dollar as we had done during the 1997/1998 economic downturn. This will minimise the adverse impact on the government.
  2. Banking and financial sectors to give a moratorium to public and private workers, IKS and individuals.
  3. BNM should instruct all insurance companies to revise their general exclusion (GE) policy, notably in regards to personal accident at home by permitting them to use their policy during lockdown period.
  4. Utility companies must ease the people’s burden by offering rebate, discount or minimum charges during lockdown.
  5. The postponement of EPF contribution (for workers), thus will provide the rakyat with extra cash to keep the market liquidity.
  6. Bringing down examination points or grades for the year 2020 and reviewing the level of difficulty.
  7. All higher learning institutions should observe their respective postponement of semester.
  8. The homeless in major cities must be managed properly since there are possibility of their food supply being cut off.
  9. Before lockdown is declared, the government must stop public transportation in stages.
  10. Provide free online counselling or emotion therapy to those having mental depression.
  11. All NGOs and related agencies must actively involved in mental health campaign.
  12. Regulate all supermarkets, stores and groceries to impose limited purchase on daily goods.

There are two important things we need to do in helping out the government realizes the MCO:

  • Stay at home and adhere to all guidelines issued by the Health Ministry and PDRM to contain the virus. Those who are at risk and with Covid-19 symptoms are advised to seek medical screening at nearest clinic or government hospitals.
  • Stop disseminating unverified news about the pandemic and refrain from seeking popularity on the social media by creating panic and chaos by posting unnecessary prophecies.

John F. Kennedy had said: “The Chinese use two brush strokes to write the word ‘crisis.’ One brush stroke stands for danger; the other for opportunity. In a crisis, be aware of the danger-but recognize the opportunity”.

Love your family. Use this MCO opportunity to amend what we had lost in the past. #staycoolwithyourfamily.

AHMAD ZAHID HAMIDI
#juststayathome
#stayhomestaysafe
#staycoolwithyourfamily